Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-20 0.001510 0.001567 0.001627 0.001692 0.001763 0.001837 0.001921
2025-07-27 0.001419 0.001503 0.001592 0.001695 0.001811 0.001939 0.002092
2025-08-03 0.001342 0.001442 0.001551 0.001681 0.001833 0.002008 0.002227
2025-08-10 0.001296 0.001409 0.001537 0.001692 0.001880 0.002104 0.002398
2025-08-17 0.001248 0.001370 0.001509 0.001683 0.001900 0.002166 0.002529
2025-08-24 0.001203 0.001330 0.001478 0.001667 0.001906 0.002208 0.002637
2025-08-31 0.001187 0.001324 0.001486 0.001696 0.001970 0.002328 0.002858
2025-09-07 0.001162 0.001305 0.001476 0.001702 0.002004 0.002409 0.003033
2025-09-14 0.001129 0.001275 0.001450 0.001686 0.002005 0.002443 0.003141
2025-09-21 0.001096 0.001242 0.001421 0.001662 0.001994 0.002459 0.003221
2025-09-28 0.001071 0.001218 0.001400 0.001649 0.001996 0.002493 0.003332
2025-10-05 0.001029 0.001172 0.001350 0.001594 0.001937 0.002431 0.003276
2025-10-12 0.001009 0.001154 0.001336 0.001588 0.001947 0.002476 0.003411
2025-10-19 0.000996 0.001145 0.001332 0.001596 0.001979 0.002557 0.003621
2025-10-26 0.000976 0.001126 0.001316 0.001586 0.001983 0.002593 0.003753
2025-11-02 0.000966 0.001119 0.001315 0.001597 0.002018 0.002683 0.004003
2025-11-09 0.000950 0.001104 0.001302 0.001589 0.002024 0.002725 0.004164
2025-11-16 0.000932 0.001085 0.001284 0.001575 0.002019 0.002745 0.004282
2025-11-23 0.000929 0.001088 0.001294 0.001601 0.002079 0.002886 0.004696
2025-11-30 0.000920 0.001080 0.001291 0.001607 0.002106 0.002969 0.004999
2025-12-07 0.000904 0.001063 0.001274 0.001592 0.002099 0.002988 0.005143
2025-12-14 0.000886 0.001044 0.001254 0.001571 0.002080 0.002984 0.005224
2025-12-21 0.000873 0.001030 0.001240 0.001559 0.002076 0.003007 0.005387